Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Oxford City		Barnet

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.44
	5.75	4.5	1.4
	6	4.75	1.44
	6.08	4.59	1.49
	6.39	5.14	1.43
	5.5	4.33	1.44
	6.2	4.75	1.41
	6	4.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (5.09)	4.69 ↑ (4.4)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
15.5%

Draw
19.8%

Barnet
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

20.9%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

20.6%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Oxford City - Barnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Barnet will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Brzozowski M. (G) 2. Burley A. 19. Carroll C. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 10. McEachran Z. 22. Moore T. 24. Ofosu C. 14. Parker J. (C) 11. Pedder R. 12. Roberts M. 15. Smith R.	1. Walker L. (G) 5. Armstrong M. 33. Brunt Z. 18. Hartigan A. 9. Kabamba N. 6. Okimo J. 30. Potter F. 14. Pritchard H. 7. Senior C. 10. Stead C. 21. Wynter B. (C)
Substitutes
7. Coyle L. 17. Fonkeu P. 1. Haigh Ch. (G) 3. Miccio L. 9. Sanderson O.	25. Barratt S. 23. Beard S. 32. Cropper J. 8. Gorman D. 26. Hooper G.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Oxford City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
24.10.23	Wealdstone - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bromley - Oxford City	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Oxford City - Scarborough Athletic	2:3 ✺
14.10.23	Scarborough Athletic - Oxford City	2:2 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Oxford City - Fylde	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTW
- Barnet
English National League
24.10.23	Barnet - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Barnet - Maidenhead United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Barnet - Aveley	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	Aveley - Barnet	2:2 ✺
English National League
07.10.23	Dorking Wanderers - Barnet	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTW

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