Match Info

National League - Round 41

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Hartlepool United		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	8.5
	1.3	4.8	7.75
	1.32	5.2	8.4
	1.35	4.9	8.45
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.32	4.9	8.3
	1.32	5.2	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	4.94 ↓ (5.24)	8.4 ↓ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
70.2%

Draw
18.8%

Ebbsfleet United
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

17.8%

10.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

17.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Smith A. (G) 19. Cleary R. 20. Dieseruvwe E. 3. Ferguson D. 12. Grey J. 9. Madine G. 18. Miley J. 4. Parkes T. (C) 17. Sass-Davies B. 14. Sheron N. 21. Stephenson L.	1. Cousins M. (G) 37. Aoraha A. 27. Bolger A. 18. Carr R. 22. Chapman B. 28. Cosgrave A. 17. Edser T. 36. Manktelow M. 11. Moncur G. 24. Olagunju M. 2. O'Neil L.
Substitutes
10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L. 16. Featherstone N. 27. Folarin S. 7. Hunter J. 1. Ombang D. (G) 5. Waterfall L.	35. Anthony E. 32. Goddard F. (G) 45. Harriott C. 7. Passley J. 4. Wright J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Cleary R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Manktelow M. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽,
62', Grey J. ↓, Featherstone N. ↑,
68', Aoraha A. ↓, Harriott C. ↑,
69', Parkes T. ↓, Waterfall L. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Cosgrave A. ⚽,
77', Madine G. ↓, Charman L. ↑,
77', Stephenson L. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
82', Sheron N. ↓, Campbell A. ↑,
82', Moncur G. ↓, Passley J. ↑,
83', Miley J. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Folarin S. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Ebbsfleet is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Hartlepool is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
29.03.25	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Hartlepool United - Boston United	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Hartlepool United - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
04.03.25	Fylde - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWTTL
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
29.03.25	Ebbsfleet United - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
22.03.25	Aldershot Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	Ebbsfleet United - Fylde	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Solihull Moors - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Eastleigh - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	1:0
20.01.24	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	0:1
11.11.23	Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United	2:2
07.03.20	Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
16.11.19	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	2:2
19.02.19	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	0:0
11.08.18	Hartlepool United - Ebbsfleet United	0:1

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