Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Ebbsfleet United		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.33	4.5
	1.5	4.3	4.7
	1.51	4.4	4.8
	1.57	4.53	4.55
	1.52	4	5.25
	1.53	4.2	4.95
	1.51	4.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	4.31 ↑ (3.89)	4.79 ↓ (6.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
59.9%

Draw
21.1%

Weymouth
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.3%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weymouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Ebbsfleet United - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Ebbsfleet is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Weymouth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Weymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ebbsfleet is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
01.01.23	Dartford - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
26.12.22	Ebbsfleet United - Dartford	1:4 ✺
20.12.22	Cheshunt - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
13.12.22	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	0:2 ✺
06.12.22	Worthing - Ebbsfleet United	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLW
- Weymouth
English National League South
26.12.22	Weymouth - Taunton Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
13.12.22	Worthing - Weymouth	1:3 ✺
10.12.22	Tonbridge Angels - Weymouth	0:5 ✺
03.12.22	Weymouth - Cheshunt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
13.08.22	Weymouth - Ebbsfleet United	2:3

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