Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	5
	1.65	3.85	4.75
	1.63	3.94	5.3
	1.62	4.04	4.84	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.6
	1.63	3.83	5.1
	1.62	3.8	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)	3.83 ↑ (3.59)	4.99 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
57.1%

Draw
24.3%

Yeovil Town
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

24.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Yeovil will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Evans G. (G) 2. Benn J. 10. Campbell A. 28. Daly M. 15. Hunter J. 3. John C. 5. Kouogun M. 18. Miley J. 4. Parkes T. (C) 19. Reid A. 14. Sheron N.	1. Ward J. (G) 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 11. Daly J. 20. Efete M. 26. Ferguson K. 21. Greenslade H. 9. Jarvis A. 8. McCormick L. 14. McGavin B. 6. Wannell J. 4. Williams M.
Substitutes
30. Aungiers J. 24. Brown P. 8. Ferguson N. 7. Francis J. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G) 23. Topalloj B.	29. Campbell T. 15. Ellison D. 28. Espain L. 22. Gould M. (G) 25. Jolliffe M. 17. Oluwabori A. 3. Whittle A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Jarvis A. ⚽, McCormick L. (A),
17', Kouogun M. 🟨,
37', Jarvis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Hunter J. ↓, Francis J. ↑,
58', Wannell J. 🟨,
62', Daly M. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
65', Jarvis A. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
66', Ferguson K. 🟨,
73', Greenslade H. ↓, Whittle A. ↑,
73', Sheron N. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
74', Parkes T. ↓, Topalloj B. ↑,
82', McGavin B. ↓, Jolliffe M. ↑,
86', McCormick L. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, McCormick L. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 8 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 4.

Hartlepool is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yeovil is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hartlepool is considered a favorite.

We predict that Hartlepool will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
29.11.25	Hartlepool United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Hartlepool United - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Halifax Town - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Hartlepool United - Morecambe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWT
- Yeovil Town
English National League
29.11.25	Yeovil Town - Boston United	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Morecambe - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Yeovil Town - Southend United	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Scunthorpe United - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Yeovil Town - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
09.08.25	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	0:0
21.12.24	Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town	2:1
10.08.24	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	0:1
20.02.21	Hartlepool United - Yeovil Town	2:1
21.11.20	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	1:3
18.01.20	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	2:2
English FA Cup
12.11.19	Yeovil Town - Hartlepool United	1:4

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