Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Ebro		Basconia

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.85
	1.68	3.42	5.36
	1.87	3.25	4.00	Watch
	1.68	3.3	4.99
	1.87	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)	3.3 ↑ (3.25)	4.63 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
52.4%

Draw
27.8%

Basconia
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.2%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

23.9%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basconia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ebro - Basconia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Lite M. 🟥,
40', 1 - 0, Reques J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Ebro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Basconia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ebro is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Gernika - Ebro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ebro - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ebro - Tarazona	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.25	Sestao - Ebro	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ebro - Mutilvera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWLT
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Basconia - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Beasain - Basconia	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Basconia - Náxara	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Ejea - Basconia	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Basconia - Alavés B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL

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