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Ecuador vs Brazil Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, June 05, 2025)

Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 15

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Bolivia	FBF Play, Futbol Canal, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Rede Globo, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Caracol TV, Ditu, RCN Television
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sporty TV
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Silk Universal
Guatemala	Claro Sports 2
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Mexico	Claro Sports
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN 2
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	HEi
Peru	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1, SSC Sports NEWS
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	SBS Sports
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	BYM Sports, Simple Plus, Venevision Play, Venevision
World	Onefootball


	Ecuador		Brazil

	1	X	2
	4	2.9	2.15	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.1
	4.35	3	2.02	Watch
	4.08	3	2.21
	4.81	3.11	1.98	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2.1
	4.3	3.03	2.14	Watch
	4.55	3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (2.98)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	2.09 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ecuador
23%

Draw
31.3%

Brazil
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ecuador's form might have worsened.

Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brazil's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	12.7%	81.4%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brazil (1.46) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Ecuador (2.04) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ecuador (2.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Ecuador (1.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Brazil will win (80 of 95 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.88% – 91.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brazil will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 56 Selected Experts predict this event. Ecuador (votes: 8 - 14.3%). Brazil (votes: 46 - 82.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 4. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. PSG 3. Hincapie P. (C) Bayer Leverkusen 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG 23. Caicedo M. Chelsea 15. Vite P. Vancouver Whitecaps 7. Estupinan P. Brighton 9. Yeboah J. Venezia 19. Angulo N. Anderlecht 16. Minda A. Cercle Brugge	1. Alisson (G) Liverpool 13. Vanderson Monaco 4. Marquinhos (C) PSG 3. Alexsandro Lille 6. Alex Sandro Flamengo RJ 8. Bruno Guimaraes Newcastle Utd 5. Casemiro Manchester United 7. Gerson Flamengo RJ 20. Estevao Palmeiras 9. Richarlison Tottenham 10. Vinicius Junior Real Madrid
Substitutes
14. Arreaga X. Barcelona SC 8. Medina Y. Genk 20. Mendez J. Independiente del Valle 18. Mercado J. AFS 10. Paez K. Independiente del Valle 17. Preciado A. Sparta Prague 5. Ramirez C. Ferencvaros 13. Ramirez Leon B. J. LDU Quito 12. Ramirez M. (G) Independiente del Valle 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 2. Torres F. Corinthians 22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito	18. Andrey Santos Strasbourg 11. Antony Betis 12. Bento (G) Al Nassr 15. Beraldo L. PSG 16. Carlos Augusto Inter 21. Cunha M. Manchester United 2. Danilo Flamengo RJ 17. Ederson Atalanta 23. Hugo Souza (G) Corinthians 14. Leo Ortiz Flamengo RJ 22. Martinelli G. Arsenal 19. Pereira A. Fulham
Coaches
Beccacece S.	Ancelotti C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Minda A. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
64', Estevao ↓, Martinelli G. ↑,
64', Richarlison ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
78', Gerson ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
78', Yeboah J. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
89', Angulo N. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
90+2', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Pereira A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 0.

Brazil is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ecuador won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:15. (average 0.2:1.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Chile - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Ecuador - Venezuela	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Colombia - Ecuador	0:1 ✺
14.11.24	Ecuador - Bolivia	4:0 ✺
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWWWT
- Brazil
FIFA World Cup
25.03.25	Argentina - Brazil	4:1 ✺
20.03.25	Brazil - Colombia	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Brazil - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
14.11.24	Venezuela - Brazil	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Brazil - Peru	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
06.09.24	Brazil - Ecuador	1:0
27.01.22	Ecuador - Brazil	1:1
Copa America
27.06.21	Brazil - Ecuador	1:1
FIFA World Cup
04.06.21	Brazil - Ecuador	2:0
31.08.17	Brazil - Ecuador	2:0
01.09.16	Ecuador - Brazil	0:3
Copa America
04.06.16	Brazil - Ecuador	0:0

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