Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday


	Edinburgh City		Albion Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.08	3.35	3.1
	2.14	3.35	3.1
	2.15	3.44	3.25
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.16	3.54	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.93)	3.37 ↓ (3.49)	3.12 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh City
43.3%

Draw
27.3%

Albion Rovers
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Albion Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edinburgh City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Albion Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Edinburgh City - Albion Rovers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Edinburgh City won 2.

Edinburgh City is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Albion is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Edinburgh City have a series of guest games.

Edinburgh City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Edinburgh City won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 32-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Edinburgh City won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Two
11.02.22	Edinburgh City - Stirling Albion	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:2 ✺
31.01.22	Forfar Athletic - Edinburgh City	2:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
22.01.22	Aberdeen - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
15.01.22	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WWWLT
- Albion Rovers
Scottish League Two
05.02.22	Forfar Athletic - Albion Rovers	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Albion Rovers - Cowdenbeath	0:1 ✺
15.01.22	Elgin City - Albion Rovers	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Albion Rovers - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
26.12.21	Albion Rovers - Stranraer	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
05.11.21	Edinburgh City - Albion Rovers	0:4
31.07.21	Albion Rovers - Edinburgh City	2:0
Scottish League Cup
17.07.21	Albion Rovers - Edinburgh City	2:1 penalties
Scottish League Two
23.03.21	Albion Rovers - Edinburgh City	1:2
05.12.20	Edinburgh City - Albion Rovers	5:2
07.03.20	Edinburgh City - Albion Rovers	3:0
16.11.19	Edinburgh City - Albion Rovers	3:2

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