Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 23

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Elgin City		Albion Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.6
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.33	3.25	2.75
	1.74	3.55	3.95
	2.52	3.32	2.73
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.39	3.42	2.75
	2.42	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.82)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	2.82 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elgin City
39.5%

Draw
27.9%

Albion Rovers
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elgin City's form might have worsened.

Albion Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Albion Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elgin City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albion Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Albion Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Elgin City - Albion Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Elgin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Albion will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elgin won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Elgin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Elgin is a favorite.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Elgin won 9 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Elgin won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
28.01.23	Stenhousemuir - Elgin City	2:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
24.01.23	Elgin City - Drumchapel United	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
14.01.23	Elgin City - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Elgin City - East Fife	1:2 ✺
02.01.23	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLW
- Albion Rovers
Scottish League Two
28.01.23	Albion Rovers - Forfar Athletic	0:1 ✺
14.01.23	Stranraer - Albion Rovers	0:4 ✺
07.01.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Albion Rovers	0:4 ✺
31.12.22	Albion Rovers - Dumbarton	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Annan Athletic - Albion Rovers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
11.10.22	Elgin City - Albion Rovers	1:0
02.04.22	Albion Rovers - Elgin City	0:0
15.01.22	Elgin City - Albion Rovers	1:1
16.10.21	Albion Rovers - Elgin City	2:0
14.08.21	Elgin City - Albion Rovers	3:0
17.04.21	Albion Rovers - Elgin City	Canceled
17.04.21	Elgin City - Albion Rovers	2:5

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