Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Edinburgh City		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.70	2.55
	2.15	3.60	2.75
	2.02	3.50	2.90
	2.10	3.49	2.86
	2.13	3.85	2.79
	2.07	3.45	2.80
	2.11	3.50	2.89
	2.18	3.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.35)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)	2.8 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh City
42.7%

Draw
25%

Kelty Hearts
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

24.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

25%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kelty Hearts (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, North T. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Lawson I. ⚽, North T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, Falconer M. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Aiken M. ⚽, Foster K. (A),
90+1', 4 - 1, Foster K. ⚽, Bunker C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh City won 1.

Edinburgh City is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Kelty Hearts have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Edinburgh City has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:29 (averaging 1.6:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Edinburgh City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:18 goals (averaging 1.6:2.6 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Cup for now

Edinburgh City: 0.5%

Last Results with these Odds

Edinburgh City - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.21%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Kelty Hearts - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League Two
17.10.26	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.10.26	Edinburgh City - St. Mirren 2	0:5 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.10.26	Edinburgh City - Spartans	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Stranraer - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Formartine United - Edinburgh City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League Two
17.10.26	Kelty Hearts - Forfar Athletic	2:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.10.26	East Kilbride - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.10.26	Stirling Albion - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Spartans - Kelty Hearts	0:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Kelty Hearts - Montrose	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
19.09.26	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	1:3
Scottish League One
30.03.24	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	3:1
13.02.24	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	3:2
03.02.24	Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts	0:3
07.10.23	Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts	1:4
Scottish League Cup
19.07.23	Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts	3:5
Scottish League One
22.04.23	Edinburgh City - Kelty Hearts	2:2

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