Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)


	Cove Rangers		Annan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.9
	1.79	3.6	4.55
	1.75	3.8	4.2
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	4.22 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
53%

Draw
25%

Annan Athletic
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Annan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suman N. (G) 18. Lobban D. 3. Doyle M. (C) 15. Darge A. 7. Harrington R. 17. Marshall F. 8. Yule B. 10. Glass D. 4. Scully C. 11. McGrath G. 14. Coulson Q.	1. Smith J. (G) 22. Bisland L. 2. Hooper S. 6. Breen R. 33. Gibson W. 4. Dixon J. 7. McGowan P. 8. Todd J. 16. Smith P. 9. Smith A. 5. Muir T. (C)
Substitutes
21. Demus B. (G) 20. Gaffney M. 2. Murray F. 32. Parker L.	17. Brown A. 12. Fleming G. (G) 18. Fleming K. 15. Kilsby M. 19. Maxwell C. 14. Muir R. 23. Ross L. 21. Stevenson J. 20. Trialist

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Breen R. (Own goal),
15', 1 - 1, Darge A. (Own goal),
28', 2 - 1, Marshall F. ⚽, Scully C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coulson Q. ↓, Parker L. ↑,
46', McGrath G. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
58', Bisland L. ↓, Kilsby M. ↑,
72', Todd J. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
72', Dixon J. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
77', Scully C. 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Marshall F. ⚽,
80', Glass D. 🟨,
82', Breen R. ↓, Maxwell C. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cove won 2.

Cove is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Annan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Annan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cove is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cove won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.9:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cove won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
11.02.25	Cove Rangers - Montrose	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	Livingston - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Scottish League One
01.02.25	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Cove Rangers - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWW
- Annan Athletic
Scottish League One
08.02.25	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Annan Athletic - Montrose	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Annan Athletic - Inverness	0:3 ✺
04.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
07.12.24	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	1:1
03.08.24	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	1:3
13.04.24	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	4:2
24.02.24	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	2:1
09.12.23	Annan Athletic - Cove Rangers	1:3
07.10.23	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	3:2
Scottish League Two
25.01.20	Cove Rangers - Annan Athletic	2:0

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