Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)

Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)


	Kilmarnock		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	10
	1.22	5.75	9.75
	1.22	6	12
	1.21	5.5	8.8
	1.2	6.35	13.31
	1.22	6.25	11.6
	1.24	5.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	5.95 ↑ (4.93)	10.78 ↑ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilmarnock
75.8%

Draw
15.6%

Cove Rangers
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18.9%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

17.8%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kilmarnock's performance.

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Kilmarnock - Cove Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: Kilmarnock will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dennis W. (G) 5. Mayo L. 17. Findlay S. 3. Ndaba C. 15. Murray F. 7. McKenzie R. (C) 12. Watson D. 31. Polworth L. 10. Kennedy M. 99. van Veen K. 23. Watkins M.	1. Suman N. (G) 15. Darge A. 6. Gillingham W. 17. Kerr J. 26. Reynolds M. 3. Doyle M. 8. Yule B. 5. Niang M. 4. Scully C. 9. Megginson M. (C) 10. Burrell R.
Substitutes
11. Armstrong D. 14. Balagizi J. 18. Cameron I. 22. Donnelly L. 39. Mackay-Steven G. 20. O'Hara K. (G) 21. Stewart G. 9. Vassell K. 4. Wright J.	11. Connell K. 21. Demus B. (G) 2. Jones J. 7. McGowan P. 27. Stewart C.
Coaches
McInnes D.	Hartley P.

Preview

Recent matches Kilmarnock is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cove is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cove could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cove have a series of guest games.

In this match Kilmarnock is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Premier League
07.02.24	Kilmarnock - Livingston	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Motherwell - Kilmarnock	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Kilmarnock - Hibernian	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.24	Kilmarnock - Dundee	2:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
02.01.24	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTWL
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
03.02.24	Stirling Albion - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
30.01.24	Brora Rangers - Cove Rangers	1:3 ET ✺
Scottish League One
27.01.24	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Hamilton Academical - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Falkirk - Cove Rangers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TWLLL

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