Match Info

J2 League - Round 14

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ehime		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.9	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.75	3.4	1.94	Watch
	4.02	3.59	1.99
	3.25	3.43	2.12
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.73	3.68	1.89	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.8)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	1.99 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
26.1%

Draw
27%

Iwaki
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

26.4%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ehime's form might have worsened.

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iwaki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	41.7%	50%

Ehime - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ehime will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Iwaki will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iwaki: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwaki (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Ehime (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Ehime (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Iwaki (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shirasaka F. (C) 29. Fukushima H. 25. Yoshida H. 16. Hosoya K. 44. Moriyama K. 10. Sato R. 8. Fukazawa Y. 7. Soneda Y. 24. Koda H. 11. Fujihara Y. 18. Taguchi Y.	1. Hayasaka Y. (G) 4. Dohana K. 3. Endo R. (C) 2. Ishida Y. 32. Igarashi S. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 6. Sakagishi K. 38. Kumata N. 14. Yamaguchi D. 10. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
90. Arthur Viana 21. Bak Keon-Woo 13. Kubota R. 3. Marcel Scalese 17. Murakami Y. 39. Muto H. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 15. Tsuruno R. 48. Yukutomo T.	22. Ikoma J. 15. Kase N. 21. Matsumoto R. (G) 13. Murakami H. 19. Onishi Y. 8. Shibata S. 18. Shirawachi K. 25. Unoki F. 17. Yamada Y.
Coaches
Ishimaru K.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Yoshida H. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Sato R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sakagishi K. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
64', Fujihara Y. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
64', Igarashi S. ↓, Onishi Y. ↑,
73', Taguchi Y. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
73', Sato R. ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
75', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Unoki F. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Yamashita Y. ⚽,
84', Onishi Y. 🟨,
85', Soneda Y. ↓, Muto H. ↑,
85', Koda H. ↓, Arthur Viana ↑,
90+8', Kumata N. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 17).

Ehime has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Iwaki is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iwaki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ehime won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ehime	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	Ehime - Fujieda MYFC	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	Vegalta Sendai - Ehime	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Ehime	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Ehime - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 TLTWT
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
03.05.25	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	Iwaki - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Iwaki	3:4 ✺
20.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Iwaki - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
10.08.24	Iwaki - Ehime	2:1
06.05.24	Ehime - Iwaki	0:0
Japan J3 League
23.10.22	Iwaki - Ehime	2:1
27.03.22	Ehime - Iwaki	1:2

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