Match Info

J2 League - Round 9

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Iwaki Greenfield (Iwaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Iwaki		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3	2.3
	2.85	3.2	2.42	Watch
	2.83	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3	2.38
	2.84	3.22	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.64)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)	2.42 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iwaki
32.6%

Draw
29.3%

Montedio Yamagata
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Iwaki - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hayasaka Y. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 37. Yamauchi R. 6. Sakagishi K. 32. Igarashi S. 19. Onishi Y. 7. Ishiwatari N. 24. Yamashita Y. 13. Murakami H. 14. Yamaguchi D. 10. Tanimura K.	31. Terakado R. (G) 15. Kawai A. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Abe T. 13. Nodake H. 21. Tanaka W. 7. Takae L. 88. Doi S. (C) 42. Issaka Z. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.
Substitutes
15. Kase N. 16. Kato T. 20. Kato Y. 38. Kumata N. 21. Matsumoto R. (G) 8. Shibata S. 30. Shota K. 25. Unoki F. 17. Yamada Y.	11. Fujimoto Y. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 55. Horikane S. 17. Kato C. 10. Kida R. 3. Kumamoto Y. 14. Sakamoto K. 9. Takahashi J. 6. Yamada T.
Coaches
Tamura Y.	Watanabe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Tanaka W. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Disaro A. S. ⚽, Doi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Nodake H. 🟨,
65', Yamashita Y. ↓, Kumata N. ↑,
65', Murakami H. ↓, Kase N. ↑,
65', Disaro A. S. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
65', Issaka Z. ↓, Kida R. ↑,
75', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
78', Doi S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
85', Onishi Y. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
86', Shibata S. 🟨,
88', Kokubu S. ↓, Kumamoto Y. ↑,
88', Nodake H. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 14).

Iwaki has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Montedio Yamagata is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montedio Yamagata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Iwaki have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Montedio Yamagata to win the game is with odds 2.3.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Iwaki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Iwaki won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Mito HollyHock - Iwaki	4:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Omiya Ardija - Iwaki	4:3 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Iwaki - Imabari	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Fujieda MYFC - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Imabari - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Kagoshima United - Montedio Yamagata	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki	1:2
24.03.24	Iwaki - Montedio Yamagata	0:0
04.11.23	Iwaki - Montedio Yamagata	1:3
11.06.23	Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki	3:0

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