The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ehime 19.2%
Draw 25.3%
Mito HollyHock 55.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
25.5%
54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
25%
55.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
14.3%
85.7%
Ehime - Mito HollyHock Predictions
Users Predictions:
Mito HollyHock will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mito HollyHock will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 19. Kuroishi T. 25. Yoshida H. 37. Ishio R. 44. Moriyama K. 14. Tanimoto S. 8. Fukazawa Y. 10. Sato R. 13. Horigome Y. 40. Sugimori K. 32. Fujimoto Y.
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 97. Takahashi T. 36. Itakura K. 2. Omori S. 99. Kato C. 24. Yamazaki K. 3. Osaki K. 39. Yamamoto H. 13. Aihara S. 44. Okuda K.
Substitutes
24. Koda H. 3. Marcel Scalese 17. Murakami Y. 39. Muto H. 7. Soneda Y. 18. Taguchi Y. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 15. Tsuruno R. 4. Yamahara K.
70. Arai M. 71. Fofana M. 51. Haruna R. (G) 19. Murata K. 47. Semba T. 25. Tada K. 16. Tsukagawa K. 20. Umeda K. 4. Ushizawa T.
Coaches
Aono S.
Mori N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Fukazawa Y. ⚽, Sugimori K. (A),
36', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Aihara S. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
46', Yamazaki K. ↓, Semba T. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Osaki K. ⚽,
57', Sato R. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
58', Moriyama K. 🟨,
59', 1 - 2, Tada K. ⚽, Kato C. (A),
71', Fujimoto Y. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
75', Kato C. ↓, Murata K. ↑,
82', Okuda K. ↓, Umeda K. ↑,
82', Tanimoto S. ↓, Muto H. ↑,
82', Sugimori K. ↓, Tsuruno R. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Murata K. ⚽, Yamamoto H. (A),
89', Yamamoto H. ↓, Arai M. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 1.
Ehime has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mito HollyHock has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Mito HollyHock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mito HollyHock is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:32. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ehime won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Ehime - the odds 4.66 are the expected chance of winning is 20.01%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Tsuji S. (G) 
Marcel Scalese 
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