Match Info

J2 League - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Ehime		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.1	1.53	Watch
	5.3	3.95	1.55
	5.51	4.27	1.59
	5.24	3.77	1.63	Watch
	5.29	4.03	1.58	Watch
	4.94	4.05	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.87)	4.03 ↑ (3.95)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
17.8%

Draw
23.2%

JEF United Chiba
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.5%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22.9%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Ehime - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - JEF United (2.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - JEF United (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: JEF United Chiba will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): JEF United Chiba will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. JEF United (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 19. Kuroishi T. 29. Fukushima H. 37. Ishio R. 44. Moriyama K. 8. Fukazawa Y. 13. Horigome Y. 10. Sato R. 7. Soneda Y. 40. Sugimori K. 32. Fujimoto Y.	19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 13. Suzuki D. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 18. Sugiyama N. 6. Eduardo 44. Shinada M. 42. Issaka Z. 9. Goya H. 20. Ishikawa D.
Substitutes
16. Hosoya K. 24. Koda H. 17. Murakami Y. 18. Taguchi Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 4. Yamahara K. 25. Yoshida H. 48. Yukutomo T.	29. Carlinhos 15. Mae T. 39. Mori K. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 4. Taguchi T. 24. Toriumi K. 14. Tsubaki N. 10. Yokoyama A. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Aono S.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Goya H. ⚽,
40', Fukazawa Y. 🟨,
42', Sugiyama N. 🟨,
45+2', Suarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Soneda Y. ↓, Tanimoto S. ↑,
55', Tanimoto S. 🟨,
65', Goya H. (Pen),
66', Goya H. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
66', Sugiyama N. ↓, Tsubaki N. ↑,
67', Sato R. ↓, Yukutomo T. ↑,
76', Ishio R. ↓, Yoshida H. ↑,
76', Sugimori K. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
81', Hidaka M. ↓, Mae T. ↑,
82', Ishikawa D. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
83', Horigome Y. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
90+2', Shinada M. ↓, Taguchi T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 0.

Ehime is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, JEF United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, JEF United is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ehime won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ehime won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
14.09.25	Blaublitz Akita - Ehime	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Ehime - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fujieda MYFC - Ehime	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Ehime - Omiya Ardija	0:3 ✺
10.08.25	Ehime - Sagan Tosu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
14.09.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	JEF United Chiba - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Vegalta Sendai - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	JEF United Chiba - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
16.03.25	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	5:1
29.09.24	Ehime - JEF United Chiba	1:2
18.05.24	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	7:1
18.09.21	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	1:0
07.03.21	Ehime - JEF United Chiba	1:1
04.11.20	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	1:1
12.09.20	Ehime - JEF United Chiba	0:2

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