The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mito HollyHock 46.4%
Draw 29.7%
Renofa Yamaguchi 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
25.8%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
25%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mito HollyHock's form might have worsened.
Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mito HollyHock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.4%
11.8%
5.9%
Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Users Predictions:
Mito HollyHock will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mito HollyHock will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 6. Iida T. 36. Itakura K. 5. Chinen T. 2. Omori S. 99. Kato C. 3. Osaki K. 16. Tsukagawa K. 39. Yamamoto H. 7. Watanabe A. 8. Saito S.
1. Marsman N. (G) 4. Matsuda K. 5. Yoshioka K. 76. Isotani S. 49. Mineda Y. 29. Wakasa Y. 7. Misawa N. 55. Okaniwa S. 8. Noyori K. 45. Yamamoto O. 9. Arita R.
Substitutes
70. Arai M. 71. Fofana M. 51. Haruna R. (G) 22. Kubo S. 15. Nagao Y. 27. Okita S. 44. Okuda K. 25. Tada K. 24. Yamazaki K.
34. Furukawa D. 20. Kawano K. 6. Kim Byeom-Yong 28. Kobayashi S. 13. Miyayoshi T. 40. Naruoka H. 36. Nishido H. 26. Taguchi J. (G) 17. Tanabe K.
Coaches
Mori N.
Nakayama G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Omori S. ⚽, Osaki K. (A),
45+5', Watanabe A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Arita R. ⚽, Isotani S. (A),
54', 2 - 1, Watanabe A. ⚽, Kato C. (A),
59', Iida T. 🟨,
66', Tsukagawa K. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
66', Saito S. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
70', Misawa N. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
70', Noyori K. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
70', Mineda Y. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
79', Chinen T. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
79', Kato C. ↓, Tada K. ↑,
81', Wakasa Y. ↓, Furukawa D. ↑,
87', Okaniwa S. ↓, Kim Byeom-Yong ↑,
88', Watanabe A. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Arita R. ⚽, Furukawa D. (A),
90+2', Okita S. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 4.
Mito HollyHock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Renofa Yamaguchi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Mito HollyHock is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
Japan
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Matsubara S. (G) 
Marsman N. (G) 
Kim Byeom-Yong 
