The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Eibar 51.4%
Draw 26.9%
Albacete Balompié 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
28.6%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
32.5%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
36.4%
18.2%
Eibar - Albacete Balompié Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Albacete will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Buta L. 14. Olaetxea L. 30. Garrido A. 17. Corpas J. 20. Javier Marton 19. Villa T. 9. Bautista J.
13. Lizoain R. (C) 15. Gamez F. 14. Garcia H. J. 24. Vallejo J. 21. Neva C. 26. Capi 6. Pacheco A. 18. Villar J. 22. Morcillo J. 4. Agus Medina 10. Betancor J.
Substitutes
7. Alkain X. 6. Alvarez S. 4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 27. Garcia H. 15. Jair 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 5. Martinez J. 22. Rodriguez A.
19. Escriche D. 3. Jogo 16. Lazo J. 2. Lorenzo 9. Marin H. 1. Marino D. (G) 17. Melendez A. 5. Moreno J. 11. Valverde V.
Coaches
San Jose B.
Gonzalez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Betancor J. ⚽,
38', Pacheco A. 🟨,
42', Garcia H. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Javier Marton (Pen),
53', Villar J. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Betancor J. ⚽, Gamez F. (A),
62', 2 - 2, Javier Marton ⚽, Garrido A. (A),
66', Olaetxea L. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
66', Villa T. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
67', Buta L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
68', Garcia H. J. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
69', Morcillo J. ↓, Lazo J. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Corpas J. (Pen),
75', Javier Marton ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
75', Capi ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
75', Betancor J. ↓, Marin H. ↑,
81', Villar J. ↓, Valverde V. ↑,
82', Garrido A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
89', Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1.
Eibar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Albacete is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Eibar is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Eibar: Alvarez S.
(Muscle Injury)
Ares A.
(Knee Injury)
Cubero S.
(Injury)
Guruzeta J.
(Injury)
Nolaskoain P.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Albacete: Pepe
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguez R.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Albacete Balompié - the odds 4.37 are the expected chance of winning is 21.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.