Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Mallo E. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
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Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
World	Disney+


	Eibar		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.15	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.21	3.25	3.67
	2.18	3.18	3.62	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	2.16	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.72)	3.24 ↓ (3.62)	3.65 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
45%

Draw
29.1%

Eldense
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

25.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

25.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar's form might have worsened.

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eldense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eldense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.3%	8.6%	37.1%

Eibar - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Eibar will win (votes: 19 - 54.3%). Eldense will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eibar: 37.8% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daniel Fuzato (G) 17. Corpas J. 22. Arambarri A. 23. Arbilla A. 5. Chema 6. Alvarez S. 10. Pereira M. 7. Alkain X. 20. Puertas A. 3. Gutierrez C. 9. Jon B.	13. Mackay I. (G) 15. Gamez F. 4. Dumic D. 14. Monsalve N. 3. Martos I. 21. Bernal A. 6. Camarasa V. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 23. Mateu M. 9. Quintana Nacho
Substitutes
14. Arrillaga H. 4. Carrillo A. 2. Cubero S. 32. Galarza A. 15. Hashimoto K. 26. Ispizua I. (G) 29. Madariaga A. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 18. Merquelanz M. 8. Nolaskoain P. 11. Pascual J. 19. Villa T.	7. Bouzaidi S. 20. Chapela I. 12. Geraldes F. 29. Godoy A. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 1. Martin D. (G) 27. Ogbuehi S. 11. Ortuno J. 5. Pina 18. Ropero U. 24. Timor D. 16. Youness
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Ponz D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Jon B. ⚽, Pereira M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Camarasa V. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
59', Gamez F. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
71', Pereira M. ↓, Nolaskoain P. ↑,
71', Puertas A. ↓, Merquelanz M. ↑,
75', Ortuno S. ↓, Youness ↑,
75', Dumic D. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
78', Jon B. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
82', Quintana Nacho ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
83', Alkain X. ↓, Villa T. ↑,
84', Chema ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
90', Hashimoto K. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Eibar will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Eibar: Guruzeta J. (Ankle Injury) Magunagoitia J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 4.78 are the expected chance of winning is 19.57%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.24	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Real Oviedo - Eibar	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Almería - Eibar	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Eibar - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
09.09.24	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWW
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
06.10.24	Eldense - Castellón	2:3 ✺
28.09.24	Cádiz - Eldense	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Levante - Eldense	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Eldense - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.24	Eibar - Eldense	5:1
28.08.23	Eldense - Eibar	2:1

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