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Current Win Probability
Eibar 21.9%
Draw 28.8%
Sevilla 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.7%
29.9%
46.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.8%
23.8%
58.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.8%
7.3%
86.9%
Eibar - Sevilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sevilla will win
(166 of 191 users predict this - 86.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 82.13% – 91.69%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage)).
Eibar has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sevilla has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (62%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Eibar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sevilla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Eibar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Eibar have a series of guest games.
In this match Sevilla is a favorite.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Eibar won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.