Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Max Sport 4, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	16:00	ESPN 3
China	03:00	Migu
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	16:00	SCCN
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:00	S Sport
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Sevilla		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.93	3.30	4.20
	1.82	3.3	4.9	Watch
	1.85	3.57	5.12
	1.8	3.53	4.79	Watch
	1.79	3.55	5.05
	1.78	3.66	4.83	Watch
	1.82	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.37)	3.52 ↑ (3.11)	4.82 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
52.8%

Draw
27.3%

Valencia
19.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

30.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.8%	14.3%	8.9%

Sevilla - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 43 - 76.8%). Valencia will win (votes: 5 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 65.7% – 87.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Valencia (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sevilla (1.23) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sevilla (2.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sevilla (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Sevilla (2.00) (votes: 81%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 9 - 75%). Valencia (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Iglesias J. 5. Castrin 4. Salas K. 17. Suazo G. (C) 30. Sierra M. 6. Agoume L. 24. Fofana Y. 20. Correia F. 19. Stassin L. 16. Romero I.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 22. Martinez A. 5. Tarrega C. 18. Pepelu 14. Gaya J. (C) 27. Otorbi D. 15. Dieng A. 23. Ugrinic F. 39. Sato R. 8. Guerra J. 7. Danjuma A.
Substitutes
14. Bueno M. 22. Carmona J. A. 3. Diaz J. 21. Ejuke C. 13. Fran (G) 7. Gonzalez A. 18. Guridi J. 8. Kochorashvili G. 23. Marcao 34. Munoz I. 10. Peque 9. Ure R.	37. Blazquez A. 36. Cordoba I. 12. De Haas J. 38. Dura J. 9. Duro H. 10. Elliott H. 24. Maffeo P. 33. Mayol A. 29. Panach A. 19. Raba D. 25. van Oevelen K. (G) 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Tarrega C. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
27', Sato R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Martinez A. ↓, Maffeo P. ↑,
62', Sato R. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
63', Romero I. ↓, Ure R. ↑,
63', Sierra M. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
67', Ejuke C. 🟨,
71', Fofana Y. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Iglesias J. ⚽, Kochorashvili G. (A),
83', Guerra J. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
83', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
83', Stassin L. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,
83', Correia F. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
88', Maffeo P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.

Sevilla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Valencia has had a series of home games.

Sevilla could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sevilla: Sangante A. (Red Card) Vargas R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Injury) Lopez D. (Knee Injury) Rioja L. (Injury) Rodriguez G. (Muscle Injury) Sadiq U. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	16:16	0	17
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.29% Valencia: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLWWW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Valencia - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Valencia - Betis	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Valencia - Teruel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2
07.12.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1
11.04.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:0
11.01.25	Sevilla - Valencia	1:1
17.02.24	Valencia - Sevilla	0:0
11.08.23	Sevilla - Valencia	1:2
16.04.23	Valencia - Sevilla	0:2

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