Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Max Sport 4, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	ESPN 3
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Sevilla		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.93	3.30	4.20
	1.82	3.3	4.9	Watch
	1.85	3.57	5.12
	1.8	3.53	4.79	Watch
	1.79	3.55	5.05
	1.78	3.66	4.83	Watch
	1.82	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.37)	3.52 ↑ (3.11)	4.82 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
52.8%

Draw
27.3%

Valencia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.8%	14.3%	8.9%

Sevilla - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 43 - 76.8%). Valencia will win (votes: 5 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 65.7% – 87.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Valencia (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sevilla (1.23) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sevilla (2.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sevilla (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Sevilla (2.00) (votes: 81%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 9 - 75%). Valencia (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Iglesias J. 5. Castrin 4. Salas K. 17. Suazo G. (C) 30. Sierra M. 6. Agoume L. 24. Fofana Y. 20. Correia F. 19. Stassin L. 16. Romero I.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 22. Martinez A. 5. Tarrega C. 18. Pepelu 14. Gaya J. (C) 27. Otorbi D. 15. Dieng A. 23. Ugrinic F. 39. Sato R. 8. Guerra J. 7. Danjuma A.
Substitutes
14. Bueno M. 22. Carmona J. A. 3. Diaz J. 21. Ejuke C. 13. Fran (G) 7. Gonzalez A. 18. Guridi J. 8. Kochorashvili G. 23. Marcao 34. Munoz I. 10. Peque 9. Ure R.	37. Blazquez A. 36. Cordoba I. 12. De Haas J. 38. Dura J. 9. Duro H. 10. Elliott H. 24. Maffeo P. 33. Mayol A. 29. Panach A. 19. Raba D. 25. van Oevelen K. (G) 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Tarrega C. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
27', Sato R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Martinez A. ↓, Maffeo P. ↑,
62', Sato R. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
63', Romero I. ↓, Ure R. ↑,
63', Sierra M. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
67', Ejuke C. 🟨,
71', Fofana Y. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Iglesias J. ⚽, Kochorashvili G. (A),
83', Guerra J. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
83', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
83', Stassin L. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,
83', Correia F. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
88', Maffeo P. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.

Sevilla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Valencia has had a series of home games.

Sevilla could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sevilla: Sangante A. (Red Card) Vargas R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Injury) Lopez D. (Knee Injury) Rioja L. (Injury) Rodriguez G. (Muscle Injury) Sadiq U. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42% Valencia: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TLWWW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Valencia - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Valencia - Betis	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Valencia - Teruel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.03.26	Sevilla - Valencia	0:2
07.12.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1
11.04.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:0
11.01.25	Sevilla - Valencia	1:1
17.02.24	Valencia - Sevilla	0:0
11.08.23	Sevilla - Valencia	1:2
16.04.23	Valencia - Sevilla	0:2

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