Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Eibar		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.55	4.21	6.6
	1.56	4.21	6.6
	1.58	4.05	5.85	Watch
	1.54	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.38)	4.09 ↓ (4.64)	6.26 ↓ (8.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
61.7%

Draw
23.2%

Villarreal B
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

20.4%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

19.6%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eibar's form might have worsened.

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eibar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Eibar - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zidane L. (G) 15. Tejero A. 5. Berrocal J. 23. Arbilla A. 2. Gutierrez C. 14. Vencedor U. 8. Pereira M. 10. Aketxe A. 30. Soriano M. 19. Stoichkov 11. Leon S.	13. Morro M. A. (G) 2. Altimira A. 29. Espigares A. 12. Lekovic S. 3. Tasende D. 7. Collado D. 14. Gelardo A. 21. Rodri 10. Ontiveros J. 27. Requena D. 9. Fores A.
Substitutes
6. Alvarez S. 17. Corpas J. 27. de la Fuente K. 18. Jon B. 29. Madariaga A. 24. Nolaskoain P. 9. Qasmi Y. 7. Quique 21. Rios Reina J. 22. Simic S. 3. Venancio F. 13. Yoel (G)	24. Ferrari A. 22. Geralnik T. 35. Gomez R. (G) 16. Lanchi 23. Moreno V. 33. Navarro P. 17. Novoa Ramos H. 11. Pascual J. 5. Rando A. 15. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Etxeberria J.	Alvarez M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Eibar is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Eibar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.24	Eibar - Burgos	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Leganés - Eibar	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Eibar - Espanyol	2:3 ✺
18.02.24	Elche - Eibar	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Eibar - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTW
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.24	Villarreal B - Elche	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Eldense - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Villarreal B - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	FC Andorra - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Villarreal B - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.23	Villarreal B - Eibar	1:0
24.02.23	Eibar - Villarreal B	2:0
19.08.22	Villarreal B - Eibar	2:2

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