Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 6
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Uruguay	Disney+, DSports 6
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leganés		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.85	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.62	2.92	2.82	Watch
	2.76	2.94	3.08
	2.62	3.01	2.96	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.9
	2.63	3.03	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.28)	2.96 ↓ (3.12)	2.95 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
36.3%

Draw
31.8%

Eibar
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

32.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés's form might have worsened.

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eibar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	58.8%	17.6%

Leganés - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Eibar will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Eibar (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Eibar (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 22. Figueredo S. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 8. Cisse S. 24. Diawara A. 9. Rodriguez D. 10. Cruz J. 19. Garcia D. (C) 17. Garcia N.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Cubero S. 8. Nolaskoain P. 15. Jair 23. Arbilla A. (C) 14. Olaetxea L. 16. Madariaga A. 18. Ares A. 10. Guruzeta J. 17. Corpas J. 20. Javier Marton
Substitutes
12. Asue L. 21. Campos A. 11. Duk 26. Guirao C. 27. Imigene S. 36. Leiva M. 42. Lozano N. 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 20. Plano O. 13. San Roman M. (G) 33. Siame G.	6. Alvarez S. 4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 9. Bautista J. 33. Delgado M. 27. Garcia H. 30. Garrido A. 34. Llorente O. 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J.
Coaches
Oca I.	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Nolaskoain P. ⚽, Corpas J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Garcia N. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
65', Garcia D. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
66', Diawara A. 🟨,
69', Guruzeta J. ↓, Alvarez S. ↑,
69', Javier Marton ↓, Bautista J. ↑,
70', Figueredo S. 🟨,
73', Cruz J. ↓, Duk ↑,
73', Cisse S. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
78', Millan A. 🟨,
82', Ares A. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
84', Figueredo S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
90+1', Rodriguez D. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.

Leganés has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eibar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Leganés: Pena R. (Inactive) Pulido R. (Knee Injury) Saenz J. (Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Bernat J. (Health problems) Martinez J. (Injury) Moreno M. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Aguilar Lopez G. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18:7	11	21
15	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Eibar - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 28.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Leganés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Córdoba - Leganés	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Leganés - Granada	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Burgos - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLWL
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.26	Eibar - Cádiz	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Eibar	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Zaragoza - Eibar	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Eibar - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Eibar - Leganés	0:0
03.03.24	Leganés - Eibar	0:2
03.09.23	Eibar - Leganés	0:1
28.01.23	Eibar - Leganés	0:0
02.09.22	Leganés - Eibar	2:1
14.05.22	Leganés - Eibar	2:3
04.09.21	Eibar - Leganés	1:1

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