Match Info

Date: 7 April 2022, Thursday


	Eintracht Frankfurt		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.85
	4	3.8	1.83
	4.25	3.8	1.89
	4.1	3.75	1.82
	4.51	3.78	1.84
	4.8	3.9	1.67
	4.55	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (4.39)	3.83 ↓ (4)	1.81 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eintracht Frankfurt
22.2%

Draw
25%

Barcelona
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.8%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

23.8%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.8%	6.8%	86.5%

Eintracht Frankfurt - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (192 of 222 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.99% – 90.99%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

1st leg.

Eintracht was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Barcelona was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (81%), has a good chance of final (61%), has a chance of win league (39%).

This event has big quality 78, very big importance 100, big match rating 89. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Eintracht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Eintracht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Eintracht have a series of home games.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eintracht Frankfurt
German Bundesliga
02.04.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Greuther Fürth	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.03.22	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.03.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Betis	1:1 ET ✺
German Bundesliga
13.03.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTTLW
- FC Barcelona
Spanish LaLiga
03.04.22	Barcelona - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	Real Madrid - Barcelona	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.03.22	Galatasaray - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.03.22	Barcelona - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.03.22	Barcelona - Galatasaray	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWT

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