Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	13:30	Disney+
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Bolivia	12:30	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	13:30	SportyNet
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	00:30	Migu
Colombia	11:30	ESPN 5
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 3
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	18:30	See, Viaplay
Ecuador	11:30	ESPN 5
Finland	19:30	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
India	22:00	ZEE5
Ireland	17:30	NOW
Italy	18:30	Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	22:30	Setanta Sports
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	10:30	FOX One, FOX Sports
Mongolia	00:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	13:30	ESPN 5
Peru	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect
Poland	18:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	19:30	Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	19:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	19:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	18:30	Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	23:30	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	19:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	17:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	Peacock, USA Network
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
International	16:30	OneFootball TV


	RB Leipzig		Eintracht Frankfurt

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.50	4.75	Watch
	1.60	4.80	4.40
	1.57	4.70	4.50	Watch
	1.64	4.90	4.93
	1.67	4.73	4.22	Watch
	1.60	4.70	4.85
	1.62	4.62	4.88	Watch
	1.58	5.00	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	4.74 ↓ (4.87)	4.67 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
59.4%

Draw
20.1%

Eintracht Frankfurt
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.2%

19.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

21.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	19%	4.8%

RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Eintracht will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Eintracht (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 60%). Eintracht (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 6. Banzuzi E. 21. El Aynaoui N. 30. Maksimovic A. 28. Nkunku C. 7. Nusa A. 40. Romulo Cardoso	1. Atubolu N. (G) 34. Collins N. 4. Koch R. (C) 3. Brassier L. 7. Knauff A. 25. Onyedika R. 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 26. Kosugi K. 20. Doan R. 42. Uzun C. 9. Burkardt J.
Substitutes
3. Esteve M. 35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 10. Gruda B. 39. Henrichs B. 16. Klostermann L. 1. Nyland O. (G) 20. Reitz R. 13. Seiwald N.	31. Arrhov L. 2. Baum E. 8. Chaibi F. 22. Chandler T. 11. Ebnoutalib Y. 27. Gotze M. 6. Hojlund O. 40. Kaua Santos (G) 5. Otavio
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Hutter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Banzuzi E. ⚽, El Aynaoui N. (A),
5', 2 - 0, Nkunku C. ⚽, Nusa A. (A),
27', El Aynaoui N. 🟨,
41', 3 - 0, Nkunku C. ⚽,
44', 4 - 0, Nkunku C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Koch R. ↓, Baum E. ↑,
46', Kosugi K. ↓, Ebnoutalib Y. ↑,
54', 5 - 0, Nusa A. ⚽, Banzuzi E. (A),
58', El Aynaoui N. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
58', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
62', Baum E. 🟨,
65', Nkunku C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
65', Nusa A. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
73', Banzuzi E. ↓, Reitz R. ↑,
73', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
73', Doan R. ↓, Gotze M. ↑,
76', Knauff A. 🟨,
84', Onyedika R. 🟨,
89', 6 - 0, Gomis T. ⚽, Henrichs B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Eintracht may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to RB Leipzig for this game.

Confirmed absences for RB Leipzig: Baumgartner C. (Thigh Injury) Guiu M. (Hamstring Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury) Reitz R. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Eintracht: Maluze J. (Illness) Pimpong M. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for RB Leipzig: Gruda B. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Eintracht: Chaibi F. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ngankam J. (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:26 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for RB Leipzig against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:5 goals (averaging 1.8:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	9	12
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	2	2	3	10:17	-7	8

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.13% Eintracht Frankfurt: 0.31%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
20.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.09.26	Como - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.09.26	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLW
- Eintracht Frankfurt
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Eintracht Braunschweig	4:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	1:3
06.12.25	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0
26.04.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	4:0
15.12.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1
German DFB Pokal
04.12.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0
German Bundesliga
18.05.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	2:2
13.01.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:1

Upcoming Matches