Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Ejea		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.92	2.45
	2.92	2.86	2.65
	2.51	3.07	2.75	Watch
	2.84	2.83	2.48
	2.8	2.8	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.45)	2.9 (2.9)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ejea
33.1%

Draw
31.6%

Amorebieta
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

32.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ejea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ejea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Ejea - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Zorrilla G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, Hakim ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Conte F. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ejea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ejea - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ejea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.11.25	SD Logroñés - Ejea	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ejea - Utebo	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alfaro - Ejea	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ejea - Alavés B	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Gernika - Ejea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWWL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.25	Amorebieta - Náxara	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Amorebieta - Alavés B	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Zaragoza B - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Amorebieta - Alfaro	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Utebo - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWWL

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