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Current Win Probability
Ejea 36.5%
Draw 27.4%
Real Unión de Irun 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
27.2%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
26.3%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ejea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ejea's performance.
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ejea than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ejea that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ejea - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Torres L. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Alvarez D. ⚽,
36', Sanchez M. 🟥,
39', 1 - 2, Miguelez S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 2, Dabo Gnako Y. (Penalty Awarded),
86', 3 - 2, Agustin P. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Real Unión is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Ejea is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Real Unión is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Ejea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ejea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Last Results with these Odds
Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.