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Current Win Probability
UD Logroñés 57.9%
Draw 23.2%
Real Unión de Irun 18.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
28.2%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
29.6%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Logroñés's performance.
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Cabetas E. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Rosas B. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Rosas B. ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, Pascual A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 2.
Logroñés is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real Unión is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Logroñés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Logroñés is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Logroñés won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Logroñés won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
UD Logroñés - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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