The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utebo 30.2%
Draw 28%
Real Unión de Irun 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
29.9%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
29%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Utebo - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Meseguer A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Torres L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Louakima C. ⚽,
55', 2 - 2, Aguado A. ⚽,
62', 2 - 3, Louakima C. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Utebo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Unión is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Real Unión is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Utebo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Utebo FC
5
1
3
1
5:5
0
6
Last Results with these Odds
Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.6%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.