Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Unión de Irun		Ebro

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.68	3.45	4.45
	1.67	3.47	5.06
	1.68	3.45	4.99	Watch
	1.67	3.2	4.8
	1.65	3.38	5.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	4.8 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
54.4%

Draw
26.7%

Ebro
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

25.1%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Real Unión de Irun - Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Soroeta J. ⚽,
63', 2 - 0, Sangalli L. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Soroeta J. ⚽,
85', 4 - 0, Tellechea I. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Real Unión is the team to beat.

We predict that Real Unión will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Unión won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ebro	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.03.26	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Real Unión de Irun - Beasain	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Mutilvera - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Real Unión de Irun - Eibar B	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW
- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.03.26	Ebro - Sestao	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Tudelano - Ebro	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Ebro - Alfaro	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Alavés B - Ebro	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Ebro - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.10.25	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	0:0
16.05.21	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	1:0
18.04.21	Real Unión de Irun - Ebro	3:0
24.01.16	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	1:1
05.09.15	Real Unión de Irun - Ebro	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.09.15	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	3:2 penalties

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