Match Info

FINLAND: Veikkausliiga

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Tammisaari Keskuskenttä (Raseborg)

Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)


	Ekenäs		Ilves

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.55	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.53
	5.95	4.3	1.54	Watch
	5.74	4.3	1.6
	5.99	4.32	1.56
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.5	4.3	1.57	Watch
	5.4	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (4.95)	4.22 ↑ (4.06)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekenäs
16.7%

Draw
22.4%

Ilves
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.2%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.9%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekenäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekenäs than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Ekenäs - Ilves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Almeida R. (G) 2. Lehtonen J. 5. Katz K. 4. Kabashi A. 29. Mohamed F. 8. Adu E. (C) 31. Efimov S. 35. Leksell A. 14. Lindholm S. 20. Lundstrom N. 22. Mohammed N.	1. Virtanen O. (C) 22. Maenpaa A. 16. Miettunen T. 5. Pikkarainen J. 2. Kivikko M. 14. Popovitch A. 7. Veteli J. 6. Arifi D. 17. Soderback M. 29. Haarala S. 19. Jukkola O.
Substitutes
15. Bjorklund A. 10. Lucas Kaufmann 9. Ojala S. 30. Pallas E. 11. Puro E. 90. Rintamaki O. (G) 18. Sivonen A.	15. Ala-Myllymaki L. 31. Bulgakov D. 26. Paavola O. 27. Riissanen J. 8. Stjopin M. 4. Umar M. 12. Viitala J. (G)
Coaches
Garcia Xatart G.	Rantanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Maenpaa A. ⚽, Veteli J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mohamed F. ↓, Lucas Kaufmann ↑,
46', Mohammed N. ↓, Pallas E. ↑,
46', Efimov S. ↓, Puro E. ↑,
50', Lindholm S. 🟨,
53', Kabashi A. 🟨,
57', Puro E. 🟨,
63', Lundstrom N. ↓, Ojala S. ↑,
63', Veteli J. 🟨,
65', Soderback M. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
77', Popovitch A. 🟨,
80', Veteli J. ↓, Ala-Myllymaki L. ↑,
80', Lindholm S. ↓, Sivonen A. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Jukkola O. ⚽, Popovitch A. (A),
84', Kivikko M. ↓, Umar M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

EIF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently EIF have a series of guest games.

In this match Ilves is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekenäs IF
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	Salon Palloilijat - Ekenäs	2:3 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.05.24	HJK - Ekenäs	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Inter Turku - Ekenäs	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Ekenäs - Oulu	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
16.04.24	Tampere United 2 - Ekenäs	0:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WTLTW
- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.05.24	Ilves - Oulu	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	IFK Mariehamn - Ilves	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	SJK - Ilves	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Ilves - Gnistan	4:6 ✺
06.04.24	Ilves - Lahti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLT

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