The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IFK Mariehamn 30.6%
Draw 25.6%
Ilves 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
25.7%
42.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
25.1%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
IFK Mariehamn - Ilves Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Mariehamn (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lund K. (G) 27. Richtner L. 2. Nurmi N. (C) 5. Koivisto T. 31. Ngulube S. 23. Widlund V. 20. Patut E. 16. Huttunen A. 14. Bergvik A. 18. Stroud A. 7. Larsson A.
12. Krkalic F. (C) 22. Multala O. 5. Vaisanen S. 24. Kumpu V. 28. Kilo J. 19. Bamba G. 3. Rale M. 14. Popovitch A. 13. Wallius K. 45. Tamminen E. 9. Hytonen T.
Substitutes
43. Andersson L. 12. Heino O. (G) 17. Holmberg R. 64. Hyvonen M. 19. Jakobsen T. 26. Jansson M. 9. Nunez W. 3. Soiniemi A. 11. Svedberg J.
17. Baranov S. 11. Coulibaly H. 31. Leislahti R. (G) 16. Miettunen T. 6. Raap Y. 33. Sacko Y. 8. Stjopin M.
Coaches
Bjorknesjo R.
Speranza C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Ngulube S. 🟨,
43', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
45+3', Bamba G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Ngulube S. ↓, Soiniemi A. ↑,
64', Huttunen A. ↓, Jakobsen T. ↑,
66', Rale M. 🟨,
66', Bamba G. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
66', Multala O. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
67', Tamminen E. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Hytonen T. ⚽,
74', Bergvik A. 🟨,
78', Rale M. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
81', Larsson A. ↓, Hyvonen M. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Jakobsen T. ⚽, Richtner L. (A),
87', Hytonen T. ↓, Coulibaly H. ↑,
88', Stroud A. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Ilves has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Mariehamn: Dahlstrom S.
(Injury)
Gyamfi F.
(Red Card)
Lundberg A.
(Injury)
Monteiro R.
(Injury)
Nissinen J.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Mariehamn: Larsson A.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mariehamn has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:37 (averaging 0.9:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mariehamn against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:18 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Lund K. (G) 
Nurmi N. (C) 
Ngulube S. 
Krkalic F. (C) 
Bamba G. 
Jakobsen T. 
Raap Y. 
Speranza C. 
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