Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 6

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:00	Ruutu+
International	15:00	Onefootball


	Ilves		Oulu

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.82	3.45	2.32	Watch
	3.08	3.66	2.33
	3.01	3.46	2.32	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.25
	2.93	3.48	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.55)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	2.3 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves
32.1%

Draw
27.3%

Oulu
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.2%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.9%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Ilves - Oulu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krkalic F. (G) 24. Kumpu V. 16. Miettunen T. (C) 3. Rale M. 4. Pettersson O. 22. Multala O. 6. Raap Y. 25. Suvanne S. 8. Stjopin M. 9. Hytonen T. 28. Kilo J.	13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 22. Kaukua T. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 21. Mendolin I. 6. Paananen J. 11. Ghezali L. 26. Korkko J. 27. Kallio E.
Substitutes
19. Bamba G. 17. Baranov S. 30. Kanga J. 31. Leislahti R. (G) 33. Paavola O. 23. Raymond A. 20. Tiitinen O. 1. Virtanen O. (G)	18. Cassama A. 20. Jatta K. 14. Jokelainen N. 3. Lietsa A. 30. Makelainen J. 8. Ojala M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S. 2. Sipola S.
Coaches
Lehtonen J.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Hytonen T. ⚽, Pettersson O. (A),
37', Kumpu V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Multala O. 🟨,
53', Kemppainen O. 🟨,
60', Suvanne S. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
63', Kemppainen O. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
63', Paananen J. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
70', Multala O. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
70', Pettersson O. ↓, Bamba G. ↑,
75', Kallio E. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,
75', Ghezali L. ↓, Jatta K. ↑,
90+3', Stjopin M. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.

Recent form of Ilves has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Oulu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ilves has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury) Vaisanen S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	AC Oulu	29	13	4	12	36:37	-1	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.26	SJK - Ilves	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	VPS Vaasa - Ilves	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	IFK Mariehamn - Ilves	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Inter Turku - Ilves	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Lahti - Oulu	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.26	Oulu - FF Jaro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
21.02.26	Ilves - Oulu	2:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.08.25	Oulu - Ilves	0:4
24.05.25	Ilves - Oulu	0:0
Club Friendly
14.03.25	Ilves - Oulu	3:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
01.02.25	Oulu - Ilves	1:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.08.24	Oulu - Ilves	0:1
04.05.24	Ilves - Oulu	3:2

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