Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Leonardo Costa (Buenos Aires)


	El Linqueño		Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.42	2.68	3.05
	2.42	2.57	3.22
	2.66	2.51	3.39	Watch
	2.45	2.6	3.1
	2.6	2.86	2.99
	2.55	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.55)	2.7 ↓ (2.85)	3.04 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Linqueño
36.2%

Draw
33.8%

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

32.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Linqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cuesta J. (G) 11. Cordoba N. 4. Ferraro F. 8. Garcia Pereyra J. 9. Gonzalez B. 6. Levato T. 5. Malinauskas J. 10. Meli F. 2. Meza D. 7. Pavon M. 3. Veinticinco J.	1. Dormisch N. (G) 5. Bassi E. 10. Caseres F. 4. Dauria M. 9. Ferreira P. 2. Flores F. 3. Gallo M. 8. Martinez G. 7. Piersigilli S. 6. Robatto V. 11. Salvaggio M.
Substitutes
12. Atencio J. (G) 16. Colombi B. 13. Coria J. 19. Gomez R. 14. Joannaz G. 17. Lucero D. 15. Luques J. 20. Nunez L. 18. Quijada J.	16. Avalos N. 18. Fernandez V. 13. Fiol F. 12. Ilchischen N. (G) 14. Iturrieta J. 20. Marfort S. 17. Medina R. 15. Rosales C. 19. Visser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

El Linqueño is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, El Linqueño won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Linqueño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	El Linqueño - 9 de Julio	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Douglas Haig - El Linqueño	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	El Linqueño - Atlético Escobar	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - El Linqueño	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLWL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Atlético Escobar - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.10.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	2:1
05.10.25	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:1
28.06.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	1:1
28.04.25	El Linqueño - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:0

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