Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Arab Contractors Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	El Mokawloon El Arab		Al-Ittihad Alexandria

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	2.58	3.05
	2.95	2.68	3.08
	2.83	2.64	2.97
	2.63	2.6	3.1
	2.62	2.4	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.4)	2.58 ↓ (2.66)	3.11 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Mokawloon El Arab
33.9%

Draw
36.1%

Al-Ittihad Alexandria
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

34.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

34.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

El Mokawloon El Arab - Al Ittihad Alexandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aboul Saoud M. (C) 26. Kahraba 4. Hussein H. 3. Hamed M. 24. Hesham N. 12. El Wahsh O. 14. Gamal M. 31. Adel M. 28. Ouled Behi A. 25. Ojera J. 10. Naguib S.	16. Genesh M. (G) 88. Mahmoud A. 24. Gouda A. 4. Alaa M. 17. El Deeb K. (C) 25. Emad M. 23. Isaac S. 27. Magdi A. 10. Afsha 14. Mohamed A. 18. Ebuka J.
Substitutes
35. Abdelhafiz Y. 74. Abdelnasser M. 19. Al Kadi I. 22. Antar M. 47. Ekpenyong C. 32. Faisal H. 18. Fawzi M. (G) 44. Hawash A. 23. Ochaya J.	2. Abdelfattah K. 41. Canaria 26. Dunga M. 33. Eid A. 9. Farid F. 5. Ibrahim M. 90. Mabululu 1. Soliman S. (G) 13. Tony M.
Coaches
Elsoudany S.	Hamdi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Emad M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ouled Behi A. ↓, Hawash A. ↑,
65', Naguib S. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
71', Mohamed A. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
71', Magdi A. ↓, Tony M. ↑,
84', Hesham N. ↓, Al Kadi I. ↑,
84', Kahraba ↓, Ochaya J. ↑,
87', Emad M. ↓, Dunga M. ↑,
88', Ebuka J. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
90', Ojera J. ↓, Ekpenyong C. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Al Ittihad	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10
7	Arab Contractors	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

El Mokawloon El Arab - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.49%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League
18.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Tala`ea El-Gaish	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTT
- Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League
19.04.26	Haras El-Hodood - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	2:2 ✺
14.04.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - Pharco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
03.10.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:1
Club Friendly
21.07.25	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
11.05.24	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:1
28.10.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab	3:2
12.07.23	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0
27.01.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	0:0
26.08.22	Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:1

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