The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Mokawloon El Arab 46%
Draw 32.2%
El Gouna 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
28%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
27.1%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Mokawloon El Arab's form might have worsened.
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Mokawloon El Arab, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
El Mokawloon El Arab - El Gouna Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. El Hadary M. (G) 21. Reda S. 4. Shakoush H. 79. Kamal A. 23. Ochaya J. (C) 8. Fouad A. 70. Ali K. 28. Adel I. 17. Refaat M. 19. Ouled Behi A. 99. Hussein S.
1. Masoud A. (G) 4. Abou-Salima I. 34. Essam M. 20. Belia A. 21. Afifi Y. 90. Parfait Teukeu W. 32. Zazaa I. 74. Shayat Z. 22. Attia M. 24. El Zahdi A. 9. Mohsen M.
Substitutes
74. Abdelnasser M. 1. Aboul-Saoud M. (G) 12. El Wahsh O. 22. Gaber M. 25. Ojera J. 7. Owda A. 2. Safina Y. . Sobhi M.
35. Abdelmoniem A. 42. Egbemba M. 14. El Sayed N. 16. Emad I. (G) 6. Ghoneim A. 28. Mutawei M. 29. Samuel O. 30. Shaaban A. 27. Zayed S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Masoud A. 🟥,
19', Reda M. ↓, Emad I. ↑,
25', Kamal A. 🟨,
45+2', Ochaya J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Parfait Teukeu W. ↓, Sherif A. ↑,
46', Kamal A. ↓, Safina Y. ↑,
60', Refaat M. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
60', Ouled Behi A. ↓, Gaber M. ↑,
60', Ali K. ↓, Ojera J. ↑,
69', Afifi Y. ↓, Ghoneim A. ↑,
78', Fouad A. ↓, Owda A. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Hussein S. ⚽, Ochaya J. (A),
88', 2 - 0, Hussein S. ⚽, Abdelnasser M. (A),
90+5', Metawea M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 3.
El Mokawloon has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
El Gouna is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
El Mokawloon carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, El Mokawloon has recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:18 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for El Mokawloon against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:6 goals (averaging 1.5:0.6 per game).