Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 18

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	El Palmar		Águilas

	1	X	2
	6	3.3	1.55
	5.75	3.3	1.48
	5.4	3.55	1.51
	6.45	3.41	1.52
	6.35	3.62	1.53
	6	3.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.99 ↑ (5.25)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Palmar
15%

Draw
25.9%

Águilas
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

26.4%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

25.4%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Palmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

El Palmar - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches El Palmar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Águilas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches El Palmar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.01.23	Lorca Deportiva - El Palmar	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	4:1 ✺
18.12.22	El Palmar - Pulpileño	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Cieza - El Palmar	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Alcantarilla - El Palmar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWLWT
- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.01.23	Águilas - Alcantarilla	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Bullense - Águilas	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Águilas - Racing Murcia	0:1 ✺
04.12.22	Águilas - Caravaca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
25.09.22	Águilas - El Palmar	1:0
21.02.21	Águilas - El Palmar	5:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
15.04.18	Águilas - El Palmar	1:3

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