Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	El Porvenir		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.95	1.82
	4.4	2.9	1.85
	4.67	3.04	1.92
	4.25	3.14	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.67)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
20.5%

Draw
30.4%

Sportivo Italiano
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

30.9%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

31%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Sportivo Italiano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 0.

El Porvenir has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sportivo Italiano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Porvenir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sportivo Italiano is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches El Porvenir won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams El Porvenir won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
02.05.22	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
17.04.22	El Porvenir - San Martín de Burzaco	1:1 ✺
09.04.22	Real Pilar - El Porvenir	3:0 ✺
03.04.22	El Porvenir - General Lamadrid	0:2 ✺
27.03.22	Berazategui - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera C
02.05.22	Sportivo Italiano - San Martín de Burzaco	4:1 ✺
23.04.22	Real Pilar - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Sportivo Italiano - General Lamadrid	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Berazategui - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
04.04.22	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
07.08.21	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
20.03.21	Sportivo Italiano - El Porvenir	2:0
11.11.19	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	0:1
18.03.19	Sportivo Italiano - El Porvenir	0:2
05.10.18	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	0:0
31.03.18	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	4:1
04.11.17	Sportivo Italiano - El Porvenir	2:2

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