Match Info

2. Lig Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu (Elazığ)


	Elazığspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.7
	1.85	3.8	3.6
	1.96	3.51	3.62
	1.84	3.72	3.63	Watch
	1.92	3.38	3.95	Watch
	1.85	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.75)	3.64 ↑ (3.2)	3.68 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elazığspor
49.6%

Draw
25.4%

Vanspor
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elazığspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elazığspor's performance.

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elazığspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	5%	0%

Elazığspor - Vanspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Elazığspor will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elazığspor: 84.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elazığspor will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Gonulacar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg result: 1-4. 2nd leg.

Elazığspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vanspor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vanspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Elazığspor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elazığspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elazığspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Vanspor - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League White Group
22.05.25	Vanspor - Elazığspor	4:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Elazığspor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Elazığspor	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Elazığspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bucaspor 1928 - Elazığspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWW
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League White Group
22.05.25	Vanspor - Elazığspor	4:1 ✺
16.05.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Vanspor	0:1 ET ✺
12.05.25	Vanspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
08.05.25	Menemenspor - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.05.25	Vanspor - Karaman Belediyespor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
22.05.25	Vanspor - Elazığspor	4:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.02.25	Elazığspor - Vanspor	2:1
22.09.24	Vanspor - Elazığspor	0:2
24.03.21	Elazığspor - Vanspor	0:2
18.11.20	Vanspor - Elazığspor	2:1

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