Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 30

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga Hypermotion
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	Elche		Castellón

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.71	3.5	4.4
	1.86	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.93	3.54	4.38
	1.87	3.57	4.26	Watch
	1.79	3.55	4.57	Watch
	1.86	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.76)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	4.27 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
51.2%

Draw
26.7%

Castellón
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

29.1%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	5.6%	0%

Elche - Castellón Predictions

Users Predictions: Elche will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Diaby B. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 17. Josan 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 20. Valera G. 7. Plano O. 9. Alvarez A.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 22. Chirino D. 14. Gil O. (C) 33. Vertrouwd J. 12. Jojic M. 2. Zarfino G. 6. van den Belt T. 10. Sanchez R. 19. Mabil A. 9. de Miguel J. 4. Suero I.
Substitutes
22. Affengruber D. 32. Boayar A. 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 3. Izquierdo J. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 41. Niculaesei A. 23. Pejino 1. San Roman M. (G)	13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 29. Boriko S. 23. Calavera J. 24. Camara O. 16. Cipenga B. 25. Escobar J. 18. Lottin A. 20. Markanich N. 7. Moyita S. 51. Pastor G. 35. Torner Rosell S. (G) 3. Traore M.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Plat J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽, Aguado M. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Valera G. ⚽, Josan (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zarfino G. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
61', Plano O. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
64', Josan ↓, Castro N. ↑,
64', Aguado M. ↓, Pejino ↑,
66', Jojic M. ↓, Pastor G. ↑,
68', Bigas P. 🟨,
72', van den Belt T. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Donald J. ⚽, Valera G. (A),
77', 3 - 1, Gil O. ⚽,
78', Sanchez R. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
79', Mabil A. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
81', Valera G. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
81', Diaby B. ↓, Affengruber D. ↑,
85', Suero I. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Recent matches Elche is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castellón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Elche is a favorite.

There will not play in Elche: Mercau N. (Thigh Injury) Rashani E. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Calatrava A. (Yellow Cards) Jimenez A. (Red Card) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Castellón: Willems J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Elche won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.03.25	Racing Santander - Elche	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Elche - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Almería - Elche	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Elche - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Mirandés - Elche	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWL
- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.25	Castellón - Burgos	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cádiz - Castellón	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Castellón - Eibar	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Ferrol - Castellón	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Castellón - Huesca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Castellón - Elche	0:2
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Elche - Castellón	0:6

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