Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+


	Elche		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5.25
	1.78	3.25	5	Watch
	1.79	3.31	5.77
	1.76	3.31	5.55	Watch
	1.77	3.35	5.35	Watch
	1.78	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	5.31 ↓ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
53.4%

Draw
28.8%

Tenerife
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

27.1%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

28.9%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Elche - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: Elche will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 15. Nunez A. 17. Josan 21. Castro N. 14. Febas A. 20. Valera G. 18. Kaba S. 30. Mendoza R.	25. Badia E. (G) 22. Mellot J. 23. Juande 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 6. Gonzalez F. 5. Gonzalez S. 19. Cantero A. 15. Bodiger Y. 8. Diarra Y. 20. Mesa M.
Substitutes
8. Aguado M. 16. Alex Martin 32. Boayar A. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 35. Houary A. 3. Izquierdo J. 2. Mario Gaspar 41. Niculaesei A. 23. Pejino 7. Plano O. 1. San Roman M. (G)	29. Alvarez C. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 11. Cruz Luismi 40. Gabriel Palmero 33. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 10. Moreno M. 7. Padilla J. 9. Rodriguez A. 21. Teto A.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Cervera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kaba S. (Pen),
18', Josan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juande ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
46', Cantero A. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
60', Valera G. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
66', Mesa M. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
68', Josan ↓, Mario Gaspar ↑,
68', Kaba S. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
82', Castro N. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
82', Mendoza R. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
86', Bodiger Y. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Boayar A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elche won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Elche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tenerife have a series of home games.

In this match Elche is a favorite.

There will not play in Elche: Diaby B. (Red Card) Plano O. (Muscle Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Rubio W. (Red Card)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Elche won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:12 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Elche won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.25	Mirandés - Elche	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Elche - Eibar	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Elche - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.01.25	Elche - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLW
- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
02.02.25	Tenerife - Albacete Balompié	3:1 ✺
29.01.25	Tenerife - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Tenerife - Eldense	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Zaragoza - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
11.01.25	Tenerife - Castellón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Tenerife - Elche	1:1
13.01.24	Tenerife - Elche	0:1
28.10.23	Elche - Tenerife	2:1
Club Friendly
28.07.21	Elche - Tenerife	2:2
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.20	Tenerife - Elche	1:0
19.09.19	Elche - Tenerife	1:1
18.05.19	Elche - Tenerife	3:0

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