Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Mirandés		Elche

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.88	2.7	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.55
	2.95	2.85	2.65	Watch
	3.08	2.89	2.77
	2.98	2.91	2.69
	2.94	3.02	2.6	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.63)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.66 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
31.9%

Draw
32.7%

Elche
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

32.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Mirandés - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Elche will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez R. (G) 29. Benito I. 2. Rincon H. 22. Gutierrez J. 15. Tomeo P. 33. Parada V. 10. Reina A. (C) 6. Gorrotxategi J. 19. Lachuer M. 17. Izeta 9. Panichelli J.	13. Dituro M. (G) 4. Diaby B. 22. Affengruber D. 16. Alex Martin 15. Nunez A. 10. Mercau N. 14. Febas A. 21. Castro N. 12. Salinas J. 18. Kaba S. 9. Alvarez A.
Substitutes
3. Alonso J. 7. Butzke A. 11. Calvo A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 8. Garcia C. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 21. Postigo S. 27. Roca J. 5. Tachi	6. Bigas P. 32. Boayar A. 5. Donald J. 19. El Ghezouani M. 8. Guti R. 31. Hernandez G. 3. Izquierdo J. 17. Josan 2. Mario Gaspar 30. Mendoza R. 11. Rashani E. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Lisci A.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Febas A. 🟨,
22', Salinas J. 🟨,
34', Lachuer M. 🟨,
38', Diaby B. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Izeta ⚽,
45+2', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Alvarez A. 🟨,
49', Diaby B. 🟨,
50', Kaba S. 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Panichelli J. ⚽, Rincon H. (A),
57', Gutierrez J. ↓, Tachi ↑,
62', Mercau N. 🟨,
64', 3 - 0, Panichelli J. ⚽, Benito I. (A),
65', Mercau N. ↓, Josan ↑,
66', Alex Martin ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
66', Febas A. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
76', Lachuer M. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
76', Izeta ↓, Martin A. ↑,
77', Salinas J. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
77', Castro N. ↓, Guti R. ↑,
81', Affengruber D. 🟨,
86', Panichelli J. ↓, Butzke A. ↑,
86', Benito I. ↓, Dadie Izagirre A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 1.

Recent matches Mirandés is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elche is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Elche have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Mirandés: Postigo S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Elche: Plano O. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Mirandés - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
27.01.25	Cádiz - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
20.01.25	Mirandés - Málaga	3:2 ✺
11.01.25	Huesca - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Mirandés	0:4 ✺
18.12.24	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWT
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.25	Elche - Eibar	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Elche - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.01.25	Elche - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Elche - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.24	Elche - Mirandés	1:0
17.05.24	Mirandés - Elche	1:1
19.12.23	Elche - Mirandés	0:0
07.07.20	Mirandés - Elche	1:0
03.11.19	Elche - Mirandés	4:2
13.05.17	Elche - Mirandés	0:1
03.12.16	Mirandés - Elche	1:0

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