Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Eldense		Atlético Saguntino

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.5	4.75
	1.57	3.5	5.4
	1.6	3.62	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	5.18 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
57.1%

Draw
25.5%

Atlético Saguntino
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

17.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eldense's performance.

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Saguntino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Eldense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saguntino is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Eldense is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
18.04.21	Alzira - Eldense	2:1 ✺
11.04.21	Eldense - Roda	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	Atlético Saguntino - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.21	Alcoyano - Eldense	2:2 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.03.21	Eldense - Hércules B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTTW
- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.04.21	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Intercity - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Atlético Saguntino - Eldense	0:0 ✺
21.03.21	Atlético Saguntino - Torrent	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Recambios Colón - Atlético Saguntino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
03.04.21	Atlético Saguntino - Eldense	0:0
11.12.19	Eldense - Atlético Saguntino	0:1
10.02.19	Eldense - Atlético Saguntino	0:1
22.09.18	Atlético Saguntino - Eldense	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.02.17	Atlético Saguntino - Eldense	5:2
18.09.16	Eldense - Atlético Saguntino	0:1

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