Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Eldense		Leganés

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.8	2.5	Watch
	3	2.7	2.55
	3.2	2.75	2.55	Watch
	3.21	3	2.62
	3.36	2.73	2.71
	3.18	2.86	2.58	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.41)	2.81 ↓ (3.02)	2.57 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
29.5%

Draw
33.7%

Leganés
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

31.3%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

31%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	34.6%	50%

Eldense - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Leganés will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mackay I. (G) 12. Derick Poloni 4. Dumic D. 6. Hernandez C. 23. Mateu M. 17. Clemente J. 8. Ortuno S. 24. Timor D. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 9. Soberon M. 11. Ortuno J.	13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 21. Miramon 24. Chicco J. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. 15. Franquesa E. 10. Raba D. 7. Portillo F. 32. Cisse S. 9. de la Fuente M. 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
31. Aceves A. (G) 7. Andone F. 21. Bernal A. 18. Capo P. 15. Dauda M. 22. Doue M. 3. Martinez A. 25. Monsalve N. 10. Montes C. 5. Pina 1. Vallejo G. (G)	36. Alvin (G) 22. Arambarri A. 14. Brasanac D. 11. Cruz J. 23. Djouahra N. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 42. Koke 5. Lopez B. 2. Nyom A. 8. Perea L. 28. Urena O.
Coaches
Estevez F.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ortuno J. ⚽, Dumic D. (A),
28', Hernandez C. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chicco J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽, Franquesa E. (A),
51', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Pina ↑,
57', Clemente J. 🟨,
60', Ortuno J. ↓, Youness ↑,
65', Mackay I. 🟨,
73', Cisse S. ↓, Urena O. ↑,
73', Raba D. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
78', Clemente J. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
78', Soberon M. ↓, Andone F. ↑,
86', de la Fuente M. 🟨,
90+2', Brasanac D. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Franquesa E. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
90+5', Franquesa E. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Eldense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leganés is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leganés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
28.04.24	Alcorcón - Eldense	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Eldense - Albacete Balompié	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Valladolid - Eldense	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Eldense - FC Andorra	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Eibar - Eldense	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
27.04.24	Leganés - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Tenerife - Leganés	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	Leganés - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Huesca - Leganés	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Leganés - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.12.23	Leganés - Eldense	1:1

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