Match Info

LaLiga - Round 35

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	14:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	09:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	16:00	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	14:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	09:00	Disney+
Canada	08:00	TSN+
Chile	08:00	Disney+
China	20:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	07:00	Disney+
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	16:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	14:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	20:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	TV2 Play Premium
India	17:30	GXR World
Indonesia	19:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	21:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	15:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	18:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Macao	20:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect
Maldives	17:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	06:00	Sky Sport
Moldova	15:00	Setanta Sports 2
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	13:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	14:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Peru	07:00	Disney+
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	14:00	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 1
Romania	15:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	15:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	14:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	21:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Max
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	20:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	17:00	Setanta Sports 2
Tanzania	15:00	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	15:00	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	17:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	09:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	17:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	08:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	19:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Leganés		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3.25	3.2	Watch
	2.41	3.35	3.31
	2.41	3.19	3.26	Watch
	2.45	3	3.1
	2.49	3.27	3.24	Watch
	2.4	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.44)	3.2 ↑ (3.09)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
39.8%

Draw
30%

Espanyol
30.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

31.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

32.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	24%	20%

Leganés - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Espanyol will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Espanyol (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Espanyol (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Espanyol (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 5 - 50%). Espanyol (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 3. Saenz J. (C) 5. Tapia R. 2. Altimira A. 10. Raba D. 8. Cisse S. 17. Neyou Y. 30. Diomande Y. 19. Garcia D. 23. Munir El Haddadi	1. Garcia J. (G) 17. Jofre 4. Kumbulla M. 6. Cabrera L. 22. Romero C. 8. Exposito 5. Calero F. 19. Gonzalez U. 7. Puado J. (C) 2. Fernandez Jaen R. 20. Kral A.
Substitutes
36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 11. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Duk 6. Gonzalez S. 21. Lopez R. 22. Nastasic M. 7. Rodriguez O. 1. Soriano J. (G)	18. Aguado A. 16. Cheddira W. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 3. Gomez S. 15. Gragera J. 42. Hinojo R. 11. Milla P. 13. Pacheco F. (G) 24. Ramon P. 31. Roca A. 12. Tejero A. 9. Veliz A.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Cisse S. ⚽, Raba D. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Diomande Y. ⚽, Raba D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kral A. ↓, Veliz A. ↑,
46', Calero F. ↓, Tejero A. ↑,
48', Puado J. 🟨,
61', Raba D. 🟨,
62', Jofre ↓, Roca A. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Kumbulla M. (Own goal),
72', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
72', Puado J. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
73', Cabrera L. 🟨,
74', Raba D. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Cabrera L. ⚽,
80', Neyou Y. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
89', Garcia D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
89', Munir El Haddadi ↓, Duk ↑,
90+8', 3 - 2, Milla P. ⚽, Gonzalez U. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Leganés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Hernandez J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Espanyol: Catala J. (Knee Injury) El Hilali O. (Yellow Cards) Lozano P. (Injury) Olivan B. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Cruz J. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.25	Sevilla - Leganés	2:2 ✺
24.04.25	Leganés - Girona	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mallorca - Leganés	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Leganés - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Leganés - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTTLT
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.25	Espanyol - Betis	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Villarreal - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Valencia - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Espanyol - Getafe	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.01.25	Espanyol - Leganés	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
12.04.24	Leganés - Espanyol	0:0
20.10.23	Espanyol - Leganés	0:1
11.04.21	Espanyol - Leganés	2:1
26.11.20	Leganés - Espanyol	2:0
Spanish LaLiga
05.07.20	Espanyol - Leganés	0:1
22.12.19	Leganés - Espanyol	2:0

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