Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 35

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	beIN Connect
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player


	Eldense		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.4	3	3.15	Watch
	2.46	2.94	3.29	Watch
	2.53	2.95	3.14	Watch
	2.4	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.29)	2.95 ↓ (3.07)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
38.8%

Draw
31.8%

Sporting de Gijón
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Eldense - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sporting de Gijón (2.39) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Sporting de Gijón (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 1 - 20%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 5. Pina 26. Barzic M. 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. 12. Diawara A. 19. Fede 22. Gassama S. 9. Quintana Nacho	1. Yanez R. (G) 20. Vazquez K. 15. Maras N. 4. Pier R. 22. Sanchez D. 14. Olaetxea L. 10. Mendez N. 17. Dubasin J. 18. Gelabert Pina C. 21. Serrano N. 19. Otero J.
Substitutes
36. Aceves A. (G) 21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 6. Camarasa V. 20. Chapela I. 25. Collado D. 4. Dumic D. 16. Masca 14. Monsalve N. 11. Ortuno J. 2. Parra R. 24. Timor D.	11. Campuzano V. 3. Cote 31. Coundoul A. 5. Garcia P. 32. Henriksson E. (G) 13. Joel C. (G) 29. Kembo Y. 6. Martin N. 28. Mbemba P. 27. Oyon A. 9. Queipo D. 2. Rosas G.
Coaches
Oltra J.	Garitano A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Dubasin J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 2, Dubasin J. (Pen),
65', Quintana Nacho ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
65', Gamez F. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
74', Fede 🟨,
74', Serrano N. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
76', Gassama S. ↓, Masca ↑,
76', Fede ↓, Collado D. ↑,
80', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
80', Vazquez K. ↓, Rosas G. ↑,
82', Ortuno S. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
84', Rosas G. 🟨,
87', 1 - 2, Ortuno J. ⚽,
90', Garcia V. 🟨,
90+4', Otero J. ↓, Campuzano V. ↑,
90+4', Olaetxea L. ↓, Cote ↑,
90+7', Barzic M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Recent matches Eldense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting de Gijón is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Eldense will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Eldense: Llabres J. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Campos G. (Muscle Injury) Curbelo E. (Injury) Dotor C. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.25	Cartagena - Eldense	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Eldense - Burgos	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Elche - Eldense	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Eldense - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Zaragoza - Eldense	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTLTW
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.25	Sporting de Gijón - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sporting de Gijón - Albacete Balompié	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Córdoba - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.08.24	Sporting de Gijón - Eldense	0:0
02.06.24	Eldense - Sporting de Gijón	0:1
27.11.23	Sporting de Gijón - Eldense	2:0

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