Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Eldense		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.3	Watch
	2.37	2.7	3.25
	2.28	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.41	2.92	3.42	Watch
	2.42	2.92	3.38	Watch
	2.28	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	2.89 ↓ (2.97)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
40%

Draw
32.4%

Burgos
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

32.9%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Eldense - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eldense: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 26. Barzic M. 5. Pina 23. Mateu M. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 19. Fede 12. Diawara A. 17. Garcia V. 9. Quintana Nacho 22. Gassama S.	13. Cantero A. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 3. Miguel F. 5. Atienza M. 33. Exposito M. 7. Ojeda D. 16. Curro 11. Alex 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
36. Aceves A. (G) 7. Bouzaidi S. 6. Camarasa V. 20. Chapela I. 25. Collado D. 4. Dumic D. 3. Martos I. 16. Masca 11. Ortuno J. 2. Parra R. 18. Ropero U. 24. Timor D.	15. Bares G. 28. Cantero M. 21. Cordoba I. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 2. Konan G. 23. Morante I. 1. Nadal T. (G) 6. Navarro R. 20. Pipa 46. Quintanilla R. 10. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Oltra J.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Oltra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Atienza M. 🟨,
50', Gassama S. 🟨,
52', Gamez F. 🟨,
53', Alex 🟨,
61', Ojeda D. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
66', Gassama S. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
66', Gamez F. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
73', Curro ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
73', Exposito M. ↓, Quintanilla R. ↑,
77', Fede ↓, Masca ↑,
83', Quintana Nacho ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
83', Barzic M. ↓, Dumic D. ↑,
86', Alex ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
86', Nino F. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Eldense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Burgos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Eldense will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Eldense: Llabres J. (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Appin K. (Knee Injury) Elady (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Eldense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.25	Elche - Eldense	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Eldense - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Zaragoza - Eldense	2:4 ✺
02.03.25	Eldense - Levante	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTWLW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.25	Burgos - Almería	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Cartagena - Burgos	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Ferrol - Burgos	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Castellón - Burgos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.24	Burgos - Eldense	1:0
10.05.24	Burgos - Eldense	1:2
05.11.23	Eldense - Burgos	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Eldense - Burgos	1:0

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