Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 14, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+, Fox Sports app


	Elfsborg		Braga

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.5	3.75	2.05
	3.59	3.75	2.06
	3.52	3.72	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.7	2.05
	3.6	3.88	2.08
	3.5	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.35)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	2.04 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
27.3%

Draw
25.7%

Braga
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

25.8%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.2%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	26.9%	57.7%

Elfsborg - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Braga will win (votes: 15 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 29. Buhari I. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 16. Ouma T. 6. Baldursson A. F. 23. Hult N. 9. Zeneli A. 10. Baidoo M. 18. Qasem A.	91. Hornicek L. (G) 13. Ferreira J. 26. Arrey-Mbi B. 15. Oliveira P. 11. Fernandes R. 20. Gharbi I. 8. Moutinho J. 6. Vitor Carvalho 77. Martinez G. 90. Fernandez Jaen R. 21. Horta R. (C)
Substitutes
14. Abdullai J. 30. Bundgaard M. (G) 11. Gudmundsson E. A. 4. Henriksson G. 12. Holten E. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 28. Ostman L. 20. Rapp G. 26. Richtner L. 7. Thomasen J. 1. Uppenberg M. (G)	7. Bruma 9. El Ouazzani A. 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 27. Guitane R. 10. Horta A. 19. Marin A. 33. Marques J. 1. Matheus (G) 25. Ribeiro Y. 3. Robson Bambu 12. Sa T. (G)
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Carvalhal C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
61', Gharbi I. ↓, Bruma ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Ouma T. (Own goal), Horta R. (A),
68', Vitor Carvalho ↓, Gorby ↑,
68', Moutinho J. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
75', Qasem A. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
75', Baidoo M. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
76', Zeneli A. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Holten E. ⚽, Rapp G. (A),
87', Horta R. ↓, Marques J. ↑,
90', Hedlund S. 🟨,
90+2', Marques J. 🟨,
90+3', Oliveira P. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Elfsborg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Braga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Braga will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Elfsborg: Hult N. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B. (Muscle Injury) Niakate S. (Red Card) Robson Bambu (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.11.24	Elfsborg - Västerås SK	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
30.10.24	Eskilsminne - Elfsborg	0:5 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.10.24	AIK - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.24	Galatasaray - Elfsborg	4:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.10.24	Elfsborg - Häcken	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
03.11.24	Arouca - Braga	1:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
31.10.24	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.10.24	Braga - Farense	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.24	Braga - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	1 Dezembro - Braga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

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