Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 9

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Braga		Farense

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	8	Watch
	1.33	5.5	7.75
	1.3	5.5	9	Watch
	1.32	5.93	9.69
	1.33	5.61	8.22	Watch
	1.29	5.5	9	Watch
	1.32	5.5	8.9	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.36)	5.6 ↑ (5.15)	8.7 ↑ (7.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Braga
72.1%

Draw
16.9%

Farense
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

18.3%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

17.9%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	4%	4%

Braga - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: Braga will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 13. Ferreira J. 15. Oliveira P. 4. Niakate S. 25. Ribeiro Y. 6. Vitor Carvalho 10. Horta A. 11. Fernandes R. 20. Gharbi I. 7. Bruma 21. Horta R. (C)	33. Velho R. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 4. Jorge A. 34. Raul Silva 28. Pastor 93. Menino M. 29. Claudio Falcao 6. Neto 31. Derick Poloni 11. Bermejo A. 19. Millan A.
Substitutes
9. El Ouazzani A. 2. Gomez V. 29. Gorby 27. Guitane R. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 19. Marin A. 77. Martinez G. 8. Moutinho J. 16. Zalazar R.	7. Balde E. 23. Canizares L. (G) 17. Cuba 16. Geovanny 79. Merghem M. 3. Moreno M. 2. Paulo Victor 14. Poveda D. 70. Rivaldo
Coaches
Carvalhal C.	Marreco T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Gharbi I. ⚽, Bruma (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandes R. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
46', Gharbi I. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
56', Millan A. 🟨,
59', Neto 🟨,
62', Millan A. ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
62', Jorge A. ↓, Geovanny ↑,
63', Bermejo A. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
67', Horta A. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
67', Horta R. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, El Ouazzani A. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
74', Menino M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
75', Neto ↓, Merghem M. ↑,
81', Oliveira P. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
90+2', Niakate S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Braga is certain favorite.

There will not play in Braga: Arrey-Mbi B. (Muscle Injury) Robson Bambu (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Farense: Kaique Pereira (Forearm injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Braga won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Braga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Braga
UEFA Europa League
23.10.24	Braga - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	1 Dezembro - Braga	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Porto - Braga	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Braga	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
29.09.24	Braga - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- SC Farense
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Sanjoanense - Farense	2:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Farense - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
30.09.24	AVS - Farense	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Farense - Arouca	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Porto - Farense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
18.02.24	Braga - Farense	2:1
16.09.23	Farense - Braga	3:1
Club Friendly
16.07.21	Farense - Braga	0:0
Liga Portugal
05.04.21	Farense - Braga	1:2
29.11.20	Braga - Farense	1:0
Taça de Portugal
22.11.15	Farense - Braga	0:1 ET
Club Friendly
18.07.13	Farense - Braga	0:1

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