Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 17

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Elfsborg		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.10	5.00
	1.60	4.00	5.00
	1.58	3.85	5.10
	1.63	4.24	5.43
	1.63	4.18	5	Watch
	1.59	4.15	5.30
	1.61	4.14	5.32	Watch
	1.59	4.10	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.92)	4.1 ↑ (3.51)	5.14 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
58.8%

Draw
23%

Västerås SK
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elfsborg's performance.

Västerås SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Västerås SK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elfsborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Västerås SK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Elfsborg - Västerås SK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elfsborg will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (G) 16. Jensen A. 8. Holmen S. (C) 4. Isherwood T. 23. Hult N. 10. Olsson S. 18. Magnusson J. 29. Kamara M. 19. Beck J. 9. Zeneli A. 21. Ostman L.	34. Jager E. (G) 2. Magnusson H. (C) 4. Bonde P. 28. Keita M. 11. Gefvert S. 30. Hellisdal M. 8. Diagne M. 3. Baggesen M. 5. Gunnarsson K. 16. Lendambi B. 17. Axel T.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 15. Hedlund S. 24. Ihler F. 22. Krasniqi D. 2. Mohammed R. 5. Nordvall O. 30. Sander T. (G) 25. Sigurpalsson A. 6. Wikstrom R.	32. Abdi M. 22. Bark L. 7. Boudah A. 1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 15. Karlsson J. 20. Ljungqvist M. 19. Magnusson J. 24. Tagesson J. 21. Wernersson V.
Coaches
Hamberg B.	Rubin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Magnusson J. ⚽, Kamara M. (A),
43', Baggesen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Baggesen M. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
46', Lendambi B. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
46', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
65', Magnusson J. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Kamara M. ⚽, Hult N. (A),
75', Karlsson J. 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Kamara M. ⚽, Beck J. (A),
78', Olsson S. ↓, Nordvall O. ↑,
79', Magnusson H. 🟨,
83', Kamara M. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
83', Magnusson J. ↓, Hedlund S. ↑,
83', Hult N. ↓, Wikstrom R. ↑,
83', Axel T. ↓, Abdi M. ↑,
86', Holmen S. ↓, Mohammed R. ↑,
86', Keita M. ↓, Wernersson V. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)

Recent performances by Elfsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Västerås SK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elfsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Elfsborg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Västerås SK: Diallo M. (Health problems) Nsabiyumva F. (Foot Injury) Ring J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Västerås SK: Lushaku I. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Elfsborg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31:22	9	37
6	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34:36	-2	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
08.08.26	Mjällby - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Elfsborg - Sirius	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	GAIS - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Elfsborg - Hammarby	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWLLL
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.26	Västerås SK - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	Djurgården - Västerås SK	6:0 ✺
24.07.26	Västerås SK - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Mjällby - Västerås SK	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Västerås SK - Degerfors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
11.04.26	Västerås SK - Elfsborg	2:2
02.11.24	Elfsborg - Västerås SK	1:0
07.04.24	Västerås SK - Elfsborg	0:1

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