Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 19

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Elfsborg		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	1.45	5	5.75	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.25
	1.44	4.95	6.1	Watch
	1.45	5.04	6.35
	1.59	4.29	4.98	Watch
	1.44	4.6	6.5
	1.43	4.97	5.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	4.8 ↑ (4.51)	5.98 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
64.5%

Draw
19.7%

Värnamo
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

20.9%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.5%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.2%	5.8%	23.1%

Elfsborg - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elfsborg will win (votes: 36 - 72%). Värnamo will win (votes: 11 - 22%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 59.6% – 84.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 16 - 64%). Värnamo (votes: 7 - 28%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Elfsborg (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - draw (1.67) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Värnamo (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eriksson S. (G) 8. Holmen S. 29. Buhari I. 2. Yegbe T. 13. Larsson J. (C) 27. Zeneli B. 5. Wenderson 15. Hedlund S. 21. Ostman L. 11. Silverholt T. 9. Zeneli A.	1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 4. Mohammed R. 24. Grozdanic E. 3. Bjornstrom A. 8. Liimatta O. 22. Thern S. (C) 9. Meriluoto K. 18. Alsalkhadi M. 14. Antonsson M. 25. Shamoun N.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 17. Frick P. 30. Hagg L. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 24. Ihler F. 18. Magnusson J. 19. Okeke V. 20. Rapp G. 25. Sigurpalsson A.	6. Andersson H. 39. Andersson V. (G) 15. Cibicki P. 27. Coulibaly S. 7. Johansson C. 16. Kujundzic A. 5. Larsson V. 20. Winsth F. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Hiljemark O.	Sandsto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Thern S. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Ostman L. ⚽, Zeneli A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
49', Zeneli A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Meriluoto K. ⚽, Shamoun N. (A),
65', Silverholt T. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
65', Ostman L. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Liimatta O. ⚽, Meriluoto K. (A),
77', 2 - 2, Frick P. ⚽, Zeneli B. (A),
78', Shamoun N. ↓, Cibicki P. ↑,
81', Rapp J. ↓, Larsson V. ↑,
82', Liimatta O. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
88', Wenderson ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
89', Holmen S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 1.

Recent performances by Elfsborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Värnamo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elfsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Elfsborg is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Hult N. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.08.25	Häcken - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg	4:3 ✺
19.07.25	Djurgården - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Elfsborg - Häcken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWL
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.08.25	Värnamo - GAIS	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	Värnamo - Hammarby	2:3 ✺
21.07.25	Norrköping - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
13.07.25	Värnamo - Djurgården	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Hammarby - Värnamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
29.06.25	Värnamo - Elfsborg	0:0
10.11.24	Värnamo - Elfsborg	0:0
01.04.24	Elfsborg - Värnamo	2:2
02.09.23	Värnamo - Elfsborg	1:0
14.05.23	Elfsborg - Värnamo	2:0
21.08.22	Värnamo - Elfsborg	1:1
17.04.22	Elfsborg - Värnamo	4:1

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